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The S&P 500 is up 12.65% year-to-date in 2026 while options volume and margin debt sit at record highs, the same leverage build-up that amplified the 1907 panic. The channel to watch is forced deleveraging: when margin balances peak, an initial equity drawdown can cascade into liquidation selling, and BTC and ETH typically absorb the highest beta because crypto collateral is marked and liquidated fastest. This is a positioning warning, not a confirmed top, so the trigger to monitor is a rise in UST yields or a volatility spike that turns high margin debt from a bullish flow into a margin-call feedback loop.
As a Market signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around GSPC, IXIC, BTC.
Original Source: BeInCrypto
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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