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New Jersey filed a petition for certiorari on the 2nd, asking the US Supreme Court to decide whether Kalshi's sports event contracts fall under federal derivatives oversight or state gambling law, signed by Attorney General Jennifer Davenport and acting Division of Gaming Enforcement director Mary Jo Flaherty. The core question is whether CFTC compliance preempts state gambling statutes, and the answer sets the regulatory perimeter for the entire prediction-market sector, including onchain venues like Polymarket and crypto-settled event contracts that rely on the same federal-preemption logic. A grant of certiorari would extend legal overhang on prediction-market volume and related token and equity exposure, while a denial would leave the current circuit-level position favoring federal jurisdiction intact and support continued state-by-state expansion.
As a Policy signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around HOOD, COIN.
Original Source: 토큰포스트
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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