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US Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNBC that more than 17 million barrels moved through the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, August 31 alone, while private maritime tracking data put the figure at 4.63 million barrels and described flows as still short of pre-war normalization. The gap is largely a counting question — crude only versus crude plus refined products and bypass pipelines — so the official read implies a shrinking geopolitical risk premium in Brent and WTI, while the tracking read supports a persistent supply-disruption premium plus elevated freight and war-risk insurance costs. Watch whether independent tracking series converge toward official volumes in coming weeks; sustained divergence keeps oil-driven inflation risk alive, which pressures UST yields, the DXY and high-beta risk assets including BTC and ETH.
As a Market signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, BZ=F.
Original Source: 토큰포스트
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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