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The US 10-year yield rose intraday to 4.792%, its highest level since January 2025, after a US-Iran military clash drove crude sharply higher and revived inflation-pressure concerns. Long-end yields are the binding constraint here: rising real discount rates compress duration-heavy tech multiples, which pushed the Nasdaq down about 1%, while oil-led CPI risk trims Fed rate-cut pricing and supports the dollar. Watch whether the oil spike proves durable and whether 10-year yields hold above 4.80%, since a sustained break would extend pressure to high-beta risk assets including BTC and ETH, whereas a quick geopolitical de-escalation would reverse the yield and energy impulse together.
As a Market signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around IXIC, CL=F, BTC.
Original Source: 블록미디어
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