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Prediction-market operator Kalshi intends to seek CFTC approval for a perpetual, no-expiry futures contract tracking crude oil, which would be the first such product traded on a US regulated venue if cleared. The transmission channel is market structure: perpetual funding-rate mechanics native to offshore crypto exchanges would migrate into CFTC-regulated commodity trading, potentially shifting retail and algorithmic flow away from rolling WTI front-month contracts and compressing calendar-spread activity in CL futures. Watch whether the CFTC accepts the self-certification or forces a formal review, since approval would open the door to perpetual contracts on other underlyings and pressure incumbent derivatives exchanges on listing speed and margin design.
As a Policy signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F.
Original Source: CoinPost
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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