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The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years, yet Bitcoin traded at $77,561 as of 2:01 p.m. on the 18th, up 1.50% from the prior session. The feared transmission channel is yen funding cost: a higher JPY rate narrows the carry spread and can force deleveraging in yen-funded risk positions, which is why a repeat of a carry-unwind crash was priced as a tail risk for BTC beta. Price action so far argues that risk was overstated, but the confirming variable is USD/JPY and JGB yields — a sharp yen appreciation run rather than an orderly move would be the signal that leveraged carry positions are actually being closed and crypto liquidity is tightening.
As a Crypto signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, JPY=X.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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