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Fed funds futures on CME FedWatch briefly priced a mid-40% probability of a rate hike this month on June 13, up from the low-30% range a session earlier, after hawkish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller compounded an oil surge tied to a renewed Strait of Hormuz blockade. Higher hike odds pressure short-end UST yields and the dollar higher, a combination that typically weighs on rate-sensitive Nasdaq names and high-beta risk assets including BTC and ETH. Watch whether crude stays elevated into the FOMC and whether other Fed speakers echo Waller, which would cement the repricing rather than let it fade.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, IXIC, KRW=X.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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