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Polymarket now prices only about a 40% chance the CLARITY Act passes this year, with other estimates lower, as controversy over President Trump's crypto-related profits erodes bipartisan support in the Senate. Delayed market-structure clarity keeps regulatory overhang on BTC and US-listed crypto names like Coinbase, muting the institutional-adoption catalyst the bill was expected to unlock. Watch whether Majority Leader John Thune's pledged floor vote before August 10 materializes; slippage past that date would likely push passage odds and sentiment lower.
As a Policy signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, COIN, ETH.
Original Source: 토큰포스트
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
The author shares an alert-style post claiming a new update on the CLARITY legislation that she says impacts technology, including AI and finance, referencing Senator Lindsey Graham and the date 7/13/2026. The post is truncated and provides no further details, so the specific regulatory content cannot be determined from the text.
Crypto Wendy O expresses the view that even if crypto market structure legislation does not pass, the SEC's safe harbor initiative is a positive development for the industry, which she frames as bullish. This is the author's opinion on the regulatory outlook rather than a data-based analysis.
The author highlights that New Hampshire has made significant progress on crypto, citing new crypto protections and a Bitcoin bond. The post is a brief news-style announcement without further detail on the measures, with a visible implication for state-level crypto regulation.
The author claims Elizabeth Warren is misrepresenting the Clarity Act and criticizes the US political system. This is an opinion post on crypto regulation with no specific data or market call.
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