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A rapid unwind of the yen carry trade is the key risk flagged for equities, with high-valuation U.S. technology and AI names most exposed. The channel is funding, not fundamentals: a stronger yen raises the cost of yen-borrowed leverage and forces deleveraging in the most crowded momentum positions, which typically hits NASDAQ high-beta names first and spills into BTC and ETH as correlated risk assets. Watch the speed rather than the level of the USD/JPY move, plus any BOJ tightening signal that accelerates it; an orderly drift is absorbable, while a disorderly repricing is what triggers cross-asset liquidation.
As a Forex signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around JPY=X, IXIC, BTC.
Original Source: MarketWatch
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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