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A BIS working paper argues headline on-chain transfer totals overstate genuine economic settlement by as much as six times, with contract proliferation and cross-chain stablecoin routing inflating raw counts. The market-structure channel matters because adjusted on-chain volume feeds institutional valuation models, network-value ratios, and the fee/usage narratives used to justify BTC and ETH allocations, so a downward revision weakens the fundamental-adoption leg of the bull case even without touching spot price. Watch whether central banks and regulators cite this methodology in stablecoin and payment-system reviews, since official adoption of deflated activity metrics would shape capital rules and reserve treatment more than near-term flows.
As a Research signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, ETH.
Original Source: CryptoSlate
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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