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China has begun mass-producing domestically developed deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography equipment, per a Reuters report dated the 28th, marking its first credible step toward self-supplying core chipmaking tools under prolonged US export controls. Near-term consensus holds that ASML's technology lead remains intact, but a viable Chinese DUV supply chain would erode ASML's China revenue over time and pressure semiconductor equipment names, while adding a long-run competitive variable for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Watch for confirmed yield and node capability of the Chinese tools and any Chinese fab orders shifting away from ASML as the signal that repricing in equipment stocks begins.
As a Market signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around ASML, 005930, 000660.
Original Source: 블록미디어
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