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US Treasury yields rose after President Trump signaled retaliation for an Iran-linked strike on a US base in Jordan, with the 10-year up 2.2bp to 4.626% and the 2-year up 3.3bp to 4.310% as of 8:37 a.m. ET on the 29th. The move is inflation-driven rather than risk-off: surging oil prices are lifting yields, pressuring rate-sensitive risk assets and keeping the Fed's cut timeline in question rather than triggering a flight to bonds. Watch whether crude extends its spike and whether an actual US military response materializes, which would deepen the energy-inflation channel and weigh on both duration and equity multiples.
As a Market signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, GC=F, GSPC.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
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