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US Central Command announced that additional airstrikes against Iran began at 5 p.m. ET on the 12th, aimed at degrading Iran's capacity to attack civilian and merchant vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with the strikes ordered directly by the president. Escalation around Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly a fifth of global oil flows, puts upward pressure on crude and gold while pressuring risk assets including equities and BTC through the risk-off channel. Watch for any Iranian retaliation against shipping or US assets, which would determine whether this reprices oil supply risk more durably or fades as a contained strike.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, GC=F, BTC.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
Crypto Wendy O argues that the stock market is not a true reflection of the economy, saying that if working families cannot afford food, shelter, and energy, people should stop claiming everything is fine. This is the author's opinion, not a market call.
Ray Dalio argues that among the major forces at play, AI will enhance productivity and lower costs over time but also significantly reduce jobs, making it a huge producer of wealth gaps. He raises the question of how to distribute that wealth and benefits like education, noting that 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level and asking how that population can be made productive.
Dalio states that, based on his indicators and analysis rather than his hopes, the US-Israel-Iran war is not an isolated conflict but part of a larger world war that he believes will not end anytime soon. This is the author's personal macro assessment.
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