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Morgan Stanley now projects the Fed delivers two additional 25bp hikes, in December and in March 2027, lifting the fed funds target range to 4.25-4.50% and holding there through end-2027, on the view that policy is still not especially restrictive even after the 25bp September FOMC increase. A rising-terminal-rate path repriced further out the curve pressures front-end UST yields higher and supports the dollar, a combination that historically compresses valuations for long-duration risk including NASDAQ growth names and high-beta crypto such as BTC and ETH, while also weighing on KRW and JPY through wider rate differentials. The read flips only if incoming inflation and labor data undercut the not-restrictive-enough thesis, so the next CPI print and FOMC communication are the confirmation points, and note this is a single house forecast rather than Fed guidance.
As a Research signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, IXIC, KRW=X.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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