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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose 3.90bp to 4.7960% as of 3 p.m. ET on the 1st, with the front end underperforming and the curve bear-flattening. Escalating US-Iran military conflict drove crude roughly 5% higher, feeding an inflation-risk premium into a broad global bond selloff and pushing futures-implied odds of a rate hike this month toward 70%. A sustained energy shock at these levels tightens real yields and dollar liquidity, a headwind for long-duration risk assets including NASDAQ growth names and high-beta crypto; watch whether oil holds the spike and whether the 10-year clears 4.80% for confirmation.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, BTC, IXIC.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
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