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A veteran fund manager's new book argues that bond returns come from curve positioning rather than from calling the direction of rates, a point framed against the US 10-year Treasury yield pushing past the 5% threshold with additional Fed hikes still in view. The practical read for allocators is that duration bets alone leave portfolios exposed when the level stays uncertain, while steepener and flattener trades can monetize shape shifts even if the direction call is wrong. For risk assets, a 5%-plus long end tightens the discount-rate channel for equities and high-beta crypto, so the next Fed decision and the term-premium behavior at the long end are the variables to confirm before adding duration or risk.
As a Research signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, IXIC.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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