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The FOMC lifted the federal funds target range by 25bp to 3.75-4.00% on the 16th local time, the first hike in three years and two months and the first policy change since last December's 25bp cut. With the statement hinting at one more increase and Warsh aligning with the hawkish side, the front end of the UST curve and the dollar carry the clearest transmission: firmer short-dated yields and a stronger DXY tighten liquidity for high-beta assets, pressuring BTC and ETH alongside long-duration NASDAQ names, while USD/KRW faces renewed upside. The key confirmation is whether upcoming inflation and labor data validate a second hike; softer prints would let markets fade the terminal-rate repricing and restore risk appetite, while a hot print entrenches the hawkish path and spot crypto ETF outflow risk.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, IXIC, KRW=X.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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