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The US Treasury sells $69 billion of 2-year notes on the 22nd, announced on the 17th with settlement on the 30th, and monthly size for the maturity is being kept at $69 billion through the August-October quarter. Because supply is unchanged, the stop-out yield and bid-to-cover ratio become the cleaner read on front-end demand: a weak cover would push 2-year yields higher, firm the dollar and DXY, and tighten the discount rate applied to BTC, ETH and high-multiple NASDAQ names. A strong tail-free result with a bid-to-cover near or above the recent run rate would instead reinforce the rate-cut-friendly front-end bid and ease pressure on USD/KRW and risk assets.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, IXIC, KRW=X.
Original Source: 토큰포스트
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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