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Market Briefing
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A 25bp BoJ hike is close to fully priced, so the tradeable variable today is Governor Ueda's guidance on the pace of tightening rather than the decision itself. USD/JPY has already slid from around 160 to near 153 as hike odds built, leaving scope for a buy-the-rumour, sell-the-fact bounce if Ueda stays cautious and data dependent; Goldman Sachs sees a faster path lifting JGB yields and supporting the yen by narrowing the policy gap with other major central banks, while the Nikkei read is mixed as a firmer yen squeezes exporter earnings and higher rates compress valuations. Watch the tone on subsequent steps against Reuters-polled expectations of 1.5% by end-March next year and 1.75% by mid-2027, since a hawkish surprise would extend yen strength and pressure yen-funded carry trades and global risk assets.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around JPY=X.
Original Source: InvestingLive Central Banks
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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