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Canadian producer prices rose 1.3% m/m in August versus 0.6% prior, lifting the annual rate to 13.5% from 12.4%, while the raw materials price index swung to +3.1% m/m from -2.1% and reached 22.8% y/y. That upstream cost pressure argues for a hawkish Bank of Canada reaction function, supporting front-end Canadian yields and CAD on rate-differential grounds while squeezing manufacturer margins that have to absorb or pass through input costs. The read-across for risk assets and high-beta crypto is negative only if this pipeline inflation shows up in core CPI, so the next Canadian CPI print and any BoC commentary on input-cost pass-through are the confirmation conditions to watch.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, IXIC, CL=F.
Original Source: InvestingLive News
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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