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US housing starts ran at a 1.275 million annualized pace in August, down 2.6% from the revised 1.309 million and below the 1.31 million consensus, while building permits fell 2.7% to 1.394 million versus a 1.41 million estimate, per the Commerce Department release dated the 17th local time. The permit shortfall is the more forward-looking signal, pointing to softer construction pipelines and rate-sensitive demand, which typically pulls UST yields and the dollar lower and supports easing expectations — a mild tailwind for BTC/ETH beta and long-duration equities, but a drag on homebuilder and construction-materials demand. The internal split argues against a one-way read: single-family starts rose 7.6% to 918,000 while multifamily (5+ units) came in at 344,000, so the next housing permits print and mortgage-rate path are the confirmation points for whether this is genuine housing contraction or multifamily noise.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, GSPC, GC=F.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
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Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
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Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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