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Al-Akhbar reported on the 17th local time that Saudi Arabia, after consultations with the US, Egypt, Pakistan and Oman, used Oman as mediator to offer Yemen's Houthis a two-week ceasefire intended as a window for a comprehensive agreement. A credible de-escalation would chip away at the Red Sea shipping and Gulf supply risk premium embedded in Brent and WTI, easing freight costs and a marginal inflation input that has supported hawkish rate pricing. Sourcing is a caveat: Al-Akhbar is a pro-Iran, Hezbollah-aligned outlet with no Saudi or Houthi confirmation yet, so the oil-premium unwind and any spillover into broader risk appetite, including high-beta assets like BTC, only becomes tradable once official acknowledgment or an actual halt in Red Sea attacks appears.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around CL=F, BZ=F, GC=F.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
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Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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