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Core CPI excluding fresh food rose 1.7% year-on-year in August, cooling from July's 1.8% and marking the first deceleration in four months. Softer inflation trims the urgency behind further Bank of Japan tightening, which typically weighs on the yen and caps JGB yields, keeping USD/JPY biased higher and yen-funded carry positions intact — a marginal liquidity positive for high-beta risk assets including BTC and ETH. The read flips if wage data or services inflation firms and BOJ officials keep signaling a near-term hike, which would revive yen-carry unwind risk that has repeatedly triggered sharp crypto and Nasdaq drawdowns.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around JPY=X, BTC, IXIC.
Original Source: Japan Times
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
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Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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