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The Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.25% at its monetary policy meeting, the highest level since 1995, marking a further step away from its long-running ultra-low rate regime as price pressures persist. A higher yen policy rate narrows carry-trade spreads and can pressure yen-funded positions in global risk assets, making USD/JPY, JGB yields, and the beta of BTC and ETH to leveraged risk appetite the main transmission channels. Governor Kazuo Ueda's afternoon press conference is the immediate watch item: guidance on the pace of further tightening will determine whether the move is priced as a one-off adjustment or the start of a faster hiking path that tightens global liquidity.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around JPY=X, BTC, IXIC.
Original Source: 블록미디어
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Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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