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The FOMC approved a 0.25 percentage point move in the federal funds target range to 3.75-4.00% with no dissents, a 12-0 tally that signals a fully aligned committee rather than a contested decision. The statement describes economic activity expanding at a solid pace, resilient domestic spending, strong productivity growth and firm capital investment, a combination that limits the case for aggressive near-term easing and keeps upward pressure on front-end UST yields and the dollar, a headwind for high-beta assets such as BTC and ETH. The offsetting factor is the pledge to keep reserves ample in the banking system, which caps funding-stress risk and supports liquidity conditions; watch the next CPI and payroll prints, plus any shift in the risk language around geopolitical uncertainty, to confirm whether the growth-resilient framing holds.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, GSPC, KRW=X.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.
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