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The Bank of England reset its quantitative tightening framework on the 17th local time, sending UK ultra-long yields sharply lower: of roughly £490bn in gilt holdings, £120bn of long-dated paper stays on the balance sheet as banknote collateral and £222bn maturing before 2035 will simply roll off passively rather than being actively sold. Removing active long-end supply compresses the gilt term premium, and because global duration is priced off a common risk premium, the relief can transmit to US Treasury, Bund and JGB long ends, easing the discount-rate pressure that has weighed on long-duration equities and high-beta assets including BTC and ETH. The confirmation test is whether 30-year gilt yields hold their decline through the next long-dated auctions; a weak reception or renewed fiscal supply headlines would reverse the term-premium narrowing and pull global long yields back up.
As a Macro signal, watch whether it changes price action, volatility, or flows around BTC, ETH, IXIC.
Original Source: 연합인포맥스
This page is market information analysis, not investment advice.
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Influencer Threads
Dalio says that even as policymakers try to hold short-term rates down, long-term rates are rising relative to short rates, a trend he says is already visible alongside a weakening dollar and moves in gold. In his view, with bonds falling and stocks rising, prospective equity returns are now low versus bonds, which translates into broader pressure on the stock market.
Anthony Pompliano notes Trump's announcement of $5,000 stimulus checks and argues, as his own view, that the more money is handed out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go. The implied channel is added liquidity supporting hard assets.
Ray Dalio shares his view that an ideal economy combines strong, broadly shared growth and wealth creation with contained inflation, noting that both growth and inflation matter. He says he was recently asked to explain stagflation and how it relates to the monetary situation he believes we are currently in, and is sharing that explanation.
Anthony Pompliano opines that most Americans no longer know whether the war with Iran is ongoing because, in his view, it has been switched on and off so many times. This is personal commentary with no direct market data or positioning.